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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">pulmo</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Пульмонология</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>PULMONOLOGIYA</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0869-0189</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2541-9617</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific and Practical Journal “PULMONOLOGIYA” LLC</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.18093/0869-0189-2022-32-4-507-516</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">pulmo-4130</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ПЕРЕДОВАЯ СТАТЬЯ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>EDITORIAL</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Прогноз социально-экономического бремени хронической обструктивной болезни легких в Российской Федерации в 2022 году</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Forecast of the socioeconomic burden of COPD in the Russian Federation in 2022</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4453-8430</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Драпкина</surname><given-names>О. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Drapkina</surname><given-names>O. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Драпкина Оксана Михайловна – д. м. н., профессор, академик Российской академии наук, директор</p><p>101990, Москва, Петроверигский пер., 10, стр. 3</p><p>тел.: (495) 624-11-46</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Oxana M. Drapkina, Doctor of Medicine, Professor, Academician of Russian Academy of Sciences, Director</p><p>Petroverigsky per., 10, building 3, Moscow, 101990</p><p>tel.: (495) 624-11-46</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">ODrapkina@gnicpm.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2062-1536</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Концевая</surname><given-names>А. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kontsevaya</surname><given-names>A. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Концевая Анна Васильевна – д. м. н., заместитель директора по научной и аналитической работе</p><p>101990, Москва, Петроверигский пер., 10, стр. 3</p><p>тел.: (495) 223-49-58</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Anna V. Kontsevaya, Doctor of Medicine, Deputy director on science and analytics</p><p>Petroverigsky per., 10, building 3, Moscow, 101990</p><p>tel.: (495) 223-49-58</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">koncanna@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2682-7914</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Муканеева</surname><given-names>Д. К.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Mukaneeva</surname><given-names>D. K.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Муканеева Динара Кямиловна – научный сотрудник отдела укрепления общественного здоровья</p><p>101990, Москва, Петроверигский пер., 10, стр. 3</p><p>тел.: (499) 553-68-66</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Dinara K. Mukaneeva, Researcher, Public Health Promotion Department</p><p>Petroverigsky per., 10, building 3, Moscow, 101990</p><p>tel.: (499) 553-68-66</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">mdksc@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6208-3038</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Смирнова</surname><given-names>М. И.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Smirnova</surname><given-names>M. I.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Смирнова Марина Игоревна – к. м. н., руководитель лаборатории профилактики хронических болезней органов дыхания</p><p>101990, Москва, Петроверигский пер., 10, стр. 3</p><p>тел. (499) 553-69-32</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Marina I. Smirnova, Candidate of Medicine, Head of Laboratory for Prevention of Chronic Respiratory Diseases</p><p>Petroverigsky per., 10, building 3, Moscow, 101990</p><p>tel.: (499) 553-69-32</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">MSmirnova@gnicpm.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2337-2723</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Анциферова</surname><given-names>А. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Antsiferova</surname><given-names>A. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Анциферова Александра Александровна – младший научный сотрудник отдела укрепления общественного здоровья</p><p>101990, Москва, Петроверигский пер., 10, стр. 3</p><p>тел.: (499) 553-68-66</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Alexandra A. Antsiferova, Junior Researcher, Public Health Promotion Department</p><p>tel.: (499) 553-68-66</p><p>Petroverigsky per., 10, building 3, Moscow, 101990</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">antsiferovaaleksandra@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5784-4525</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Лукьянов</surname><given-names>М. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Lukyanov</surname><given-names>M. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Лукьянов Михаил Михайлович – к. м. н., руководитель отдела клинической кардиологии</p><p>101990, Москва, Петроверигский пер., 10, стр. 3</p><p>тел.: (499) 553-67-35</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Mikhail M. Lukyanov, Candidate of Medicine, Head of the Department of Clinical Cardiology</p><p>Petroverigsky per., 10, building 3, Moscow, 101990</p><p>tel. (499) 553-67-35</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">loukmed@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8064-7215</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мырзаматова</surname><given-names>А. О.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Myrzamatova</surname><given-names>A. O.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Мырзаматова Азалия Орозбековна – к. м. н., научный сотрудник отдела укрепления общественного здоровья</p><p>101990, Москва, Петроверигский пер., 10, стр. 3</p><p>тел.: (499) 553-68-66</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Azaliia O. Myrzamatova, Candidate of Medicine, Researcher, Public Health Promotion Department</p><p>Petroverigsky per., 10, building 3, Moscow, 101990</p><p>tel.: (499) 553-68-66</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">azaliya89@list.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0041-293X</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Моховиков</surname><given-names>Г. И.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Mokhovikov</surname><given-names>G. I.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Моховиков Геннадий Иванович – к. м. н., заведующий пульмонологическим отделением</p><p>185019, Республика Карелия, Петрозаводск, ул. Пирогова, 3</p><p>тел.: (900) 463-86-10</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Gennady I. Mokhovikov, Candidate of Medicine, Head of pulmonology department</p><p>ul. Pirogova 3, Petrozavodsk, Republic of Karelia, 185019</p><p>tel.: (900) 463-86-10</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">pulmonology@medicine.karelia.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7869-2030</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Худяков</surname><given-names>М. Б.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Khudyakov</surname><given-names>M. B.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Худяков Михаил Борисович – ведущий инженер отдела укрепления общественного здоровья</p><p>101990, Москва, Петроверигский пер., 10, стр. 3</p><p>тел.: (499) 553-68-66</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Mikhail B. Khudyakov, Lead Engineer, Public Health Promotion Department</p><p>Petroverigsky per., 10, building 3, Moscow, 101990</p><p>tel.: (499) 553-68-66</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">mkhudyakov@gnicpm.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5999-2150</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Авдеев</surname><given-names>С. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Avdeev</surname><given-names>S. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Авдеев Сергей Николаевич – д. м. н., профессор, академик Российской академии наук, заведующий кафедрой пульмонологии Института клинической медицины имени Н. В. Склифосовского</p><p>SPIN-code: 1645-5524</p><p>119991, Москва,  ул. Трубецкая, 8, стр. 2</p><p>тел.: (495) 708-35-76</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Sergey N. Avdeev, Doctor of Medicine, Professor, Academician of Russian Academy of Sciences, Head of the Department of Pulmonology, N. V. Sklifosovsky Institute of Clinical Medicine</p><p>SPIN-code: 1645-5524</p><p>ul. Trubetskaya 8, build. 2, Moscow, 119991</p><p>tel.: (495) 708-35-76</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">serg_avdeev@list.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение «Национальный медицинский исследовательский центр терапии и профилактической медицины» Министерства здравоохранения Российской Федерации</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Federal State Budgetary Institution “National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine”, Ministry of Healthсare of the Russian Federation</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Государственное бюджетное учреждение здравоохранения Республики Карелия «Республиканская больница им. В. А. Баранова» Министерства здравоохранения Республики Карелия</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>State Budgetary Health Institution of the Republic of Karelia “Republican Hospital named after V. A. Baranov”, Ministry of Healthсare, Republic of Karelia</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-3"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Первый Московский государственный медицинский университет имени И. М. Сеченова» Министерства здравоохранения Российской Федерации (Сеченовский Университет)</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Federal State Autonomous Educational Institution of Higher Education I. M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation (Sechenov University)</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2022</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>17</day><month>08</month><year>2022</year></pub-date><volume>32</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>507</fpage><lpage>516</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Драпкина О.М., Концевая А.В., Муканеева Д.К., Смирнова М.И., Анциферова А.А., Лукьянов М.М., Мырзаматова А.О., Моховиков Г.И., Худяков М.Б., Авдеев С.Н., 2022</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2022</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Драпкина О.М., Концевая А.В., Муканеева Д.К., Смирнова М.И., Анциферова А.А., Лукьянов М.М., Мырзаматова А.О., Моховиков Г.И., Худяков М.Б., Авдеев С.Н.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Drapkina O.M., Kontsevaya A.V., Mukaneeva D.K., Smirnova M.I., Antsiferova A.A., Lukyanov M.M., Myrzamatova A.O., Mokhovikov G.I., Khudyakov M.B., Avdeev S.N.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://journal.pulmonology.ru/pulm/article/view/4130">https://journal.pulmonology.ru/pulm/article/view/4130</self-uri><abstract><p>Хроническая обструктивная болезнь легких (ХОБЛ) характеризуется высоким уровнем заболеваемости и смертности и ассоциирована со значительным социальным и экономическим ущербом (ЭУ) для системы здравоохранения и общества.</p><p>Целью работы явился прогноз социально-экономического бремени ХОБЛ в Российской Федерации (РФ) в 2022 г., включая затраты на лекарственную терапию.</p><sec><title>Материалы и методы</title><p>Материалы и методы. Приведен прогноз социально-экономического бремени ХОБЛ в РФ в 2022 г. с учетом и без учета влияния COVID-19. Анализ стоимости болезни включал расчет прямых и косвенных затрат, обусловленных ХОБЛ. Источниками данных служили показатели Федеральной службы государственной статистики, Программы государственных гарантий бесплатного оказания гражданам медицинской помощи, данные регионального регистра о медикаментозной терапии больных ХОБЛ. На основании тарифов на оплату медицинской помощи по обязательному медицинскому страхованию рассчитаны затраты на оказание амбулаторной, стационарной и скорой медицинской помощи. Объем выплат пособий по инвалидности рассчитывался по числу инвалидов каждой группы и величине пособия по инвалидности. Непрямые затраты включали потери для экономики от непроизведенной продукции из-за утраты трудоспособности и преждевременной смерти в экономически активном возрасте.</p></sec><sec><title>Результаты</title><p>Результаты. С учетом влияния COVID-19 прогнозируемый совокупный ЭУ от ХОБЛ на 2022 г. составит 428,5 млрд руб., без учета – 378,9 млрд руб. В структуре основного ЭУ превалируют потери в вследствие снижения производительности труда, обусловленные преждевременной смертью (86 %). Затраты на медикаментозную терапию пациентов с ХОБЛ на амбулаторном этапе составят &gt; 17 млрд руб.</p></sec><sec><title>Заключение</title><p>Заключение. Потенциальный ЭУ от ХОБЛ в 2022 г. зависит от заболеваемости COVID-19 и может достигнуть 0,34 % валового внутреннего продукта. Первоочередное внимание должно быть уделено мерам, направленным на профилактику возникновения ХОБЛ за счет коррекции факторов риска в популяции, раннюю диагностику, замедление прогрессирования заболевания и предупреждение обострений. Особую роль играет профилактика респираторных инфекций у больных ХОБЛ, включая COVID-19.</p></sec></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is characterized by a high level of morbidity and mortality and is associated with significant social and economic losses for the health care system and society.</p><sec><title>Aim</title><p>Aim. To predict the socio-economic burden of COPD in the Russian Federation in 2022, including the cost of drug treatment.</p></sec><sec><title>Methods</title><p>Methods. The socio-economic burden of COPD in the Russian Federation in 2022 was predicted with and without taking into account the impact of COVID-19. The analysis of the cost of illness included the calculation of direct and indirect costs due to COPD. Data of Federal State Statistics Service, the State Guarantee Program of Free Medical Care for Citizens of Russian Federation, and data from the regional register of drug treatment of patients with COPD were used. Costs of medical care (ambulatory, hospital, and emergency care) were calculated based on compulsory health insurance tariffs. The disability benefits payments were calculated based on number of disabled persons and the amount of the disability benefit in each group. Indirect costs (or economic losses) included losses from products which were not produced due to disability and premature mortality of working-aged adults.</p></sec><sec><title>Results</title><p>Results. The predicted total economic losses due to COPD in 2022 will be 428.5 billion rubles when taking into account the impact of COVID-19, and 378.9 billion rubles when not accounting for COVID-19. Losses in the economy due to decreased labor productivity because of premature deaths (86%) are major part of the main burden. The cost of drug therapy for patients with COPD in outpatient settings will amount to over 17 billion rubles.</p></sec><sec><title>Conclusion</title><p>Conclusion. Potential economic burden of COPD in 2022 depends on the incidence of COVID-19 and could be 0.34% of the GDP. Priority should be given to measures aimed at preventing the occurrence of COPD by correcting risk factors in the population, early diagnosis, slowing the progression of the disease and preventing exacerbations. Prevention of respiratory infections including COVID-19 in patients with COPD plays a special role.</p></sec></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>хроническая обструктивная болезнь легких</kwd><kwd>анализ стоимости болезни</kwd><kwd>затраты системы здравоохранения</kwd><kwd>экономический ущерб</kwd><kwd>COVID-19</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>chronic obstructive pulmonary disease</kwd><kwd>cost of illness</kwd><kwd>health care system expenses</kwd><kwd>economic burden</kwd><kwd>COVID-19</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group><funding-statement xml:lang="ru">Статья опубликована при финансовой поддержке компании «АстраЗенека».</funding-statement><funding-statement xml:lang="en">This article was published with the financial support of AstraZeneca.</funding-statement></funding-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease. 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